Monday, July 19, 2021

State of the Market - Crash Looming?

We're half way through the year, pandemic still going, stocks are up, real estate is still buoyant, cost of goods increasing every day. These are chaotic and unstable things going on, but one fact remains, which is that people need places to live. And as the job market continues to pick up, people are moving around, upsizing, downsizing, and changing their surroundings. 

So the big questions:

1. Is there a bubble? - YES. Of course this is a bubble. Multiple offers. Love letters to sellers. As-is. All cash. 

2. Will there be a crash? - PROBABLY. But most likely, it will be a small correction rather than a crash, and it might be a miniscule. WHEN? Likely in 2-3 years. Once all the buyers who accelerated their buying timelines have gone, those who come out to sell will find that there's less demand out there. This will result in some price corrections. But again, I don't see it being big enough to matter in a place like LA. 

3. Hold or sell? - Hold if you've got 5-8 years to hold on. Sell if you're needing to unleash in the next 1-2 years. 

4.  Buy or wait? - If you have a downpayment, buy. Inflation is killing your savings and interest rates are so low, it's practically free money. Only wait if you don't have enough down or you're not prequalified. Otherwise, diversify your investments with stocks, a property, and maybe some crypto if you're risk tolerant.