Friday, September 25, 2020
Off Market Properties in DTLA
Chance to Snatch Up Prime Units in DTLA
Monday, September 21, 2020
Small Survey of Buyers in DTLA - Cities Still Rule
Sunday, September 20, 2020
Economy and Home Prices Don't Match
The economy is not doing great, yet housing prices and the stock market are high. It doesn't make sense. But if you dig deeper, it does.
The stock market is being propped up by all the stimulus and Fed money printing. Unemployment is still high even as jobs are being created. Are we on the way to recovery? Yes. Will there be another blow? Probably, as many signs are pointing to a potential second COVID wave as well as rounds of layoffs by large companies. This will be the second blow that could lead to the W-shaped recovery everyone is talking about. I still think it might be a square root, depending on how the election goes.
Here's the reality in house in LA. Overall, pretty resilient. People with jobs are still buying because there's now some room to negotiate in certain areas where urban flight is happening. Plus no one wants to miss out on 2% interest rates--it's crazy. And in the inner suburbs like Mid City, Highland Park, Mt. Washington, you're getting multiple offers. Right now, people want outdoor space. They want some distance from neighbors. They want to do DIY on their homes. Average days on the market in inner suburbs? 40. In DTLA? 65. You can't rush things during a pandemic--things are moving slowly, this is just the reality.
Wednesday, September 2, 2020
Why have LA home prices been so resilient?
The market in urban areas has come down since pre-COVID. On average, in NYC, about -18%, in SF, about -10% and in DTLA, about -4%. (Prices in the more suburban areas of LA are up about +1%)
Why has LA been more resilient?
1. First, prices in LA were always lower than in NYC and SF. And suddenly, the nice weather, larger spaces and lower prices are looking pretty good when you can transplant yourself anywhere and work from home.
2. Remember, NYC was and still is the hardest hit COVID zone. LA, with it's huge population, has a fraction of the number of cases and deaths. Something is being done right in LA in terms keeping things safer.
3. People still want a city, and LA, with its proximity to green spaces, mountains, beaches, deserts, etc, is proving to be the ideal place to settle during this uncertain time.
4. There is a lot more space in LA than in other major cities. The average home size is about 1300sf in greater LA, and that's not including yards and other outdoor spaces. Compare that to 700sf is SF. You do get a lot more space for your money in LA, it's just a fact.
5. The population. LA has a huge population. Where there is a population, whether employed or not, is going to need basic services, and that means jobs. Why else are companies like Amazon buying up warehouse spaces in LA? Because of demand for goods.